Countdown to the 2026 World Cup
As the countdown to the 2026 World Cup begins, Spain and France are emerging as the prominent favorites in the betting world. Their strong positions are supported by insights from both bookmakers and bettors, with Spain leading the pack at approximately +450 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. France follows closely behind, positioned either as a co-favorite or just a step down with odds varying from +450 to +500 at different venues.
Surge in American Betting
Remarkably, the fervor among American bettors has surged, particularly given that the tournament is to be held in North America. According to BetMGM, an impressive 30% of all bets placed for the tournament winner are backing either Spain or France. The financial stakes are highlighted by the concerning fact that Spain has become a significant liability for sportsbooks.
“I was surprised to see the steady influx of bets on these teams,” commented Johnny Avello, the sportsbook director at DraftKings, noting the growing popularity of the two teams, especially in recent days.
Mark Bickerdike from Caesars Sportsbook echoed this sentiment, emphasizing that Spain and France are undoubtedly the dominant competitors, particularly with England, Argentina, and Brazil trailing behind in terms of public interest. However, Portugal has captured a notable amount of attention as well, with their odds shifting from 10-1 to +800.
Historical Context
Historically, the team favored ahead of the World Cup has secured victory only three times: West Germany in 1974, Brazil in 1994, and Spain in 2010. In stark contrast, the most considerable upset occurred in 1982 when Italy won despite entering the tournament with 18-1 odds.
American Team’s Prospects
The U.S. team, sporting long-shot odds at 60-1, is still generating considerable excitement among local bettors, ranking as the eighth most backed option at DraftKings. There is a palpable sense of optimism surrounding the American team as the event draws nearer. Avello expressed that the proximity of the tournament, with games happening in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, could intensify interest and enthusiasm for the home squad, willing to absorb the risk of unexpected triumphs by underdogs.
Long-Shot Competitors
Interestingly, another long-shot competitor warranting attention is Haiti, who is currently listed with odds of 2,500-1 to win the championship. The potential payout for sportsbooks would be staggering should Haiti manage the impossible, including a notable $2.5 million liability stemming from a $1,000 bet made by one eager gambler at BetMGM.
