NBA MVP Race Analysis
As we continue our analysis of the 2025-26 NBA season, each week we delve into the most pressing storylines to clarify whether certain trends are more fact than fiction. This week, the focus is on the NBA’s MVP race, which appears to be highly competitive and uncertain.
Current MVP Candidates
Last week, we examined the NBA’s proactive measures to combat tanking in the league. Now, MVP candidates like Nikola Jokić, the center for the Denver Nuggets, are at the forefront of discussions about who deserves the prestigious award this season.
Jokić, currently averaging league-leading rebounds and assists, as well as impressively contributing to scoring, is touted as potentially being the world’s top player and a strong contender for his fourth MVP title in just six years. It’s worth noting that he was a deserving candidate last season, helping keep a depleted Nuggets team in the playoff race.
On the other side of the argument, last season’s MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who led the Oklahoma City Thunder to an NBA championship and garnered Finals MVP recognition, is also in contention. A dynamic scorer and a vital leader for the defending champions, he too has a strong chance to repeat as MVP.
Upcoming Matchup and Eligibility Concerns
An intriguing matchup is set for Friday night at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, where Jokić and Gilgeous-Alexander will meet. However, both players face the possibility of ineligibility due to NBA policies; each needs to participate in at least 65 games during the regular season. Jokić can afford only two more missed games, while Gilgeous-Alexander recently sat out nine due to an abdomen strain.
If either player can’t qualify, the spotlight could shift to rising star Victor Wembanyama from the San Antonio Spurs, known for his defensive prowess and significant offensive contributions, especially as his team competes with the Thunder.
Debates on Player Value
Despite the ongoing conversation about the 65-game rule intended to improve player participation, it has initiated debates regarding player value, especially in a season where many candidates may not hit that threshold. The ongoing NBA MVP straw poll conducted by ESPN tracks opinions from a panel of media experts and currently shows Gilgeous-Alexander leading Jokić.
Voter perceptions can dramatically shift based on team success and individual accolades. The history of MVP awards often reflects different criteria each season—sometimes rewarding the best player on the best team, and other times focusing on outstanding individual achievements regardless of team performance.
Considering recent seasons, players like James Harden, Russell Westbrook, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Stephen Curry have redefined who earns the MVP title. If injuries disrupt Jokić and Gilgeous-Alexander’s campaigns, voters may find themselves needing to reevaluate their definitions of value. For example, Cade Cunningham‘s contributions to the East-leading Detroit Pistons could tip the scales in his favor if his team continues to thrive.
Moreover, don’t overlook Jaylen Brown of the Boston Celtics, who is proving to be a crucial asset amidst team injuries. His leadership qualities could sway voter opinions, highlighting a narrative beyond just stats or previous awards.
Conclusion
In essence, the race for the MVP is far from settled, prompting debates that challenge traditional views about what it means to be the most valuable player. With so many eligible candidates, the real excitement lies in the diverse interpretations and spirited discussions that surround the award. Expect valuable insights and shifting perspectives as the season progresses, beginning with the pivotal matchups this Friday. The determination here is clear: the race for the NBA’s MVP is indeed up for grabs.
