NCAA Tournament Update: Florida and Houston Surge in Latest Bracket Projections

by February 3, 2026

Men’s Basketball Bracket Predictions Update

In the latest update from USA TODAY Sports regarding men’s basketball bracket predictions, defending champions Florida and last year’s runners-up Houston have made significant gains. After a rocky start to the season that saw them lose games to formidable opponents such as Arizona, TCU, Duke, and Connecticut, the Gators have now ascended to a No. 3 seed and are just a half-game behind the leader in the Southeastern Conference (SEC). Their performance has improved dramatically, boasting only two losses in nearly two months and securing 10 victories across Quadrants 1 and 2.

Florida’s Recent Performance

In their most recent outing, Florida showcased their offensive prowess, shooting an impressive 51.3% from the field, while also managing a favorable turnover ratio in a dominant 100-77 victory over Alabama.

Houston’s Recovery

On the other hand, Houston has climbed to a No. 2 seed after recovering from a setback against Texas Tech. The Cougars bounced back with decisive wins over TCU and Cincinnati, despite having only played four true away games thus far. As they head into the closing stretch of the regular season, Houston faces a rigorous schedule away from home, including matchups against Brigham Young, Iowa State, and Kansas.

Teams Facing Challenges

However, not all teams are thriving, as notable slumps have impacted teams like Nebraska and Arkansas. Nebraska has fallen after suffering crucial losses in the conference against both Michigan and Illinois, while Arkansas dropped a seed line following a home defeat at the hands of Kentucky.

NCAA Tournament Projections

As the NCAA Tournament approaches, the bracketology projections are heating up. The teams considered the last four in include UCLA, New Mexico, Ohio State, and Santa Clara, while Miami, Virginia Tech, Seton Hall, and Missouri are currently regarded as the first four out.

Conference Representation

In terms of conference representation, the breakdown reveals multi-bid leagues: the Big Ten leads with 11 bids, followed by the SEC with 10, and the ACC, Big 12, and others with varying numbers of qualifications for the upcoming tournament in March.

This analysis sheds light on the current competitive landscape as teams jostle for positioning ahead of March Madness, signaling an exciting conclusion to the college basketball season.