NBA Draft 2026: Teams in the Tanking Race for Top Picks

NBA 2025-26 Regular Season Overview

As the NBA approaches the closing stages of the 2025-26 regular season, the dynamics among teams have become distinctly divided. On one side, franchises are fiercely competing for favorable positioning in the Eastern and Western Conference standings. Meanwhile, at the opposite end of the spectrum, several teams are strategically planning to lose games, aiming to secure top picks in the upcoming draft, which is generating significant excitement due to a strong class featuring standout players such as Darryn Peterson from Kansas, AJ Dybantsa from BYU, and Cameron Boozer from Duke.

The Tanking Strategy

The race for the top draft pick, particularly amidst a highly anticipated draft, has brought the concept of “tanking” to the forefront of the league’s narrative. Here’s a closer look at the teams currently engaged in this strategy:

Brooklyn Nets (17-49; .258)

Situated just two games out of the league’s worst record, Brooklyn is amid a transformative phase. They have retained all five of their first-round picks from the 2025 draft. Despite fielding their star player Michael Porter Jr., the overall roster struggles have led to a grim record, with the team losing 12 of their last 14 games. Current odds for landing the first overall pick stand at 12.5%.

Washington Wizards (16-49; .246)

The Wizards find themselves in a precarious position as they trail closely behind Brooklyn in the quest for the worst record. The anticipated debut of Anthony Davis is hindered by timing, and Trae Young has seen limited action. This season, Washington’s defense has succumbed to historic lows, allowing opponents to score freely while their own performance falters. Their current draft odds for the top pick are at 14%, supported by a Top 8 protection on their selection.

Sacramento Kings (16-51; .239)

With half a game separating them from the worst record, the Kings have opted to sit several key players like Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine, while illness and injury have hindered Keegan Murray. Although their veteran presence showcases some effort, the team’s construction undermines their tanking objectives, with a 14% shot at the top pick.

Indiana Pacers (15-51; .227)

Having the longest active losing streak in the NBA at 11 games, Indiana’s situation is marked by inconsistent play from All-Star Pascal Siakam. Their draft selection carries protections that offer either Top 4 or 10-30 conditions, adding variable stakes to their performance as they eye the best players available, with similar chances of landing a top-tier pick of 14%.

Utah Jazz (20-46; .303)

Utah has been particularly blatant about their tanking efforts, occasionally benching top players in critical game moments. The Jazz have intentionally sidelined key contributors like Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr.. Their current odds for securing the No. 1 pick stand at 10.5%, aided by the fact that their first-round selection must land within the Top 8 to retain it.

New Orleans Pelicans (22-45; .328)

Straddling an interesting line, the Pelicans will surrender their pick to either the Hawks or Bucks as a result of a previous draft trade. This has generated an unusual impasse where winning games this season could benefit their competitiveness, despite the selection’s implications in the draft lottery, resulting in a 9% chance for the top slot.

Dallas Mavericks (22-44; .333)

Acknowledging their rebuilding phase around last year’s first overall pick, Cooper Flagg, the Mavericks will not have Kyrie Irving returning from injury. The team’s current draft odds are projected at 7.5%, looking to pivot away from what they’d earlier desired in their roster composition.

Conclusion

With multiple teams focusing on either securing playoff qualifications or enhancing their draft probabilities, the conclusion of this season is pivotal for franchise futures, particularly as the anticipation over the 2026 NBA Draft swells.