Liverpool Tops U.S. Odds as Premier League Favorite for Upcoming Season

Premier League Title Odds for 2025-26 Season

In a significant shift for the Premier League, Liverpool takes the lead as the favored team to clinch the title for the 2025-26 season in the United States betting markets. For the first time in nearly a decade, and notably the first instance during Pep Guardiola‘s tenure at Manchester City, another club is positioned at the top of the odds list.

Current Betting Odds

According to ESPN BET, Liverpool boasts +175 odds, followed closely by Arsenal at +225, while Manchester City, the reigning champions for the past several years, sits in third with odds of +350.

This marks a notable departure, as it is the first time City has not been among the top two favorites heading into a season since the 2011-12 campaign. The decline in confidence from bettors is reflected in the numbers: City now accounts for just 11.2% of the betting volume in the title race and holds fifth place in terms of money wagered. Their standing appears consistent across major sportsbooks, including BetMGM and DraftKings, where they are likewise positioned fifth in this market.

Chelsea’s Rise as a Sleeper Club

Conversely, Chelsea has emerged as a sleeper club after their remarkable performance in July’s Club World Cup, leading to considerable betting interest. Bookmakers had them at +2500 a few weeks ago, but those odds have drastically improved to around +800, making them one of the hottest picks among bettors.

According to Adam Landeka, ESPN BET’s VP of sportsbook strategy and growth, Chelsea’s impressive run during the tournament, particularly their dominant victory over Paris Saint-Germain, has fueled their rise in the polls, reinforced by recent squad enhancements during the transfer window.

Manchester United’s Betting Support

While Liverpool enjoys strong backing as the favorite, Manchester United has also received notable support from bettors, attracting investments as a longer shot at +2000 odds. This aligns with their aggressive strategy in the transfer market, making them appealing to many punters.

Popularity of the Premier League in American Wagering

The Premier League remains the most popular soccer league in American wagering, as evidenced by BetMGM noting that 80% of all league winner bets are placed on the Premier League, far surpassing other European leagues. On a game-to-game basis, it generates double the betting action compared to LaLiga, which appears to be a two-team showdown this year with Real Madrid and Barcelona closely competing in the odds.

Other European Leagues

In Serie A, Napoli is currently the frontrunner at +150, amidst a tightly contested field with five clubs within striking distance (+900). Meanwhile, the Bundesliga and Ligue 1 see Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain heavily favored at -400 and -800, respectively, showcasing an uneven competitive landscape in those leagues.