In the Mix for March Madness: Who’s Competing for No. 1 Seeds?

by January 28, 2026

Overview of the College Basketball Season

The landscape of college basketball this season has taken on a notable imbalance, reflecting a competitive intensity within the top tier. The latest USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll reveals that the leading 10 teams have collectively suffered only 14 losses, with no team exceeding three defeats. Given the significance of securing the coveted No. 1 seed, the upcoming selections are drawing keen interest, especially after last year’s Final Four saw all top seeds advance—a rarity since the seeding system’s inception in 1979. With the current strength of frontrunners, a repeat of this phenomenon could be on the horizon, intensifying the scramble for top slots and favorable pathways to the NCAA tournament in Indianapolis.

Top Contenders for the No. 1 Seed

As the March Madness selection approaches in about six weeks, it is becoming clearer which teams are in contention for those prized No. 1 positions for the 2026 NCAA tournament.

Team Highlights

Arizona has solidified its top-ranking with an impeccable record of 21-0 (8-0 in Big 12 play) and a dominant 9-0 Quad 1 performance. This powerful start, bolstered by crucial victories against Florida, UConn, and Alabama during a rigorous nonconference schedule, sets them apart. Despite facing BYU on the road in a closer match than expected, Arizona retains a stronghold on the No. 1 seed. However, the upcoming stretch will be pivotal; they are set to face six ranked opponents in just ten games, including formidable foes like Kansas and Houston.

Michigan, currently 19-1 (9-1), had a remarkably strong start, dominating the early part of the season. Besides their only loss to Wisconsin, they have built a robust resume, notably by defeating Nebraska to end their unbeaten run. As they prepare for pivotal matches against rivals like Michigan State and upcoming challenges against Purdue and Duke, maintaining their trajectory will be essential for their championship hopes.

UConn also asserts itself with a convincing record of 20-1 (10-0), standing out for its impressive five Quad 1 victories achieved away from home, including a win at Kansas. Under Dan Hurley’s management, UConn remains undefeated within the Big East, looking forward to an easier path through their conference as they prepare to battle St. John’s and Villanova.

Duke mirrors this momentum with 19-1 (8-0), boasting a stellar performance that includes wins over top teams like Kansas. Though they faced a one-point defeat against Texas Tech, the Blue Devils have thrived in the ACC where they’ve claimed every game by an average margin of over 15 points. Their forthcoming contests against rivals and top-tier teams will offer further validation of their No. 2 seed potential.

Just outside the top tier lies Nebraska (20-1, 9-1), enjoying a remarkable season that began cautiously but gained confidence through significant wins over Illinois and Michigan State. Despite their recent loss to Michigan, they aim for a top-two seed, needing to navigate through challenging games against top competitors as the season progresses.

Gonzaga, reigning as a powerhouse with a 21-1 record (9-0), has continued its success streak despite a significant loss to Michigan. Their effective start in WCC play promises another strong postseason push, with remaining games giving them opportunities to elevate their seeding prospects.

Houston (17-2, 5-1), last season’s national runner-up, remains in contention for a top seed as they tackle a tough schedule ahead. Their ongoing defensive prowess, combined with their offensive improvements, positions them well if they can conquer stringent matches against teams like Arizona and Kansas in the coming month.

Lastly, Iowa State (18-2, 5-2) has faced setbacks that have hindered its No. 1 aspirations following an exciting start. However, upcoming opportunities against major teams could pivot their standings significantly as they strategize for a strong finish.

Other Contenders

In addition, teams such as Illinois, Texas Tech, and Michigan State are also in the hunt for potential high seeds, eager to carve their paths into the NCAA tournament picture.

As the tournament approaches, the excitement builds, making this season particularly notable for its fierce competition and compelling narratives among top contenders.