2026 French Open Overview
As the 2026 French Open unfolded, Jannik Sinner emerged as a strong contender with betting odds of -300, marking him as one of the top favorites, second only to Rafael Nadal’s -400 seen back in 2009. However, fans were left stunned when Sinner faced an unexpected defeat in the second round against Juan Manuel Cerundolo—an underdog with pre-match odds of 32-1 who at one point reached astonishing live odds of 100-1. Sinner’s early exit was a significant blow, reminiscent of Nadal’s own surprising fourth-round departure from that memorable 2009 tournament.
Shifting Favorites
In the wake of Sinner’s elimination, Alexander Zverev has stepped into the role of frontrunner with updated odds of +185 to clinch the men’s title at Roland-Garros. Closely following Zverev is the legendary Novak Djokovic, who stands at +330, with Casper Ruud and Rafael Jodar also in contention at +800 and +850, respectively. Notably, Zverev had begun the tournament with odds of 12-1, positioning him as a strong competitor before the events unfolded.
Early Exits and Upsets
Sinner wasn’t the only highly ranked player to face an early exit from the competition. The tournament witnessed significant shocks, as top seeds Daniil Medvedev (50-1), Ben Shelton (100-1), Taylor Fritz (100-1), and Alexander Bublik (100-1) all fell in the initial rounds. Together with Sinner, these five top-10 players faced defeats in the first two rounds, marking the highest number of upsets at this stage of the tournament since 2004.
Women’s Draw Surprises
The women’s draw didn’t escape the wave of surprises either. Elena Rybakina, who entered the tournament with enticing odds of +650 and substantial backing from bettors, lost in the second round. Similarly, Jasmine Paolini (60-1) and Jessica Pegula (who was also favored at 50-1) were eliminated in their opening matches, further shaking up expectations.
Leading Contenders
Despite these upsets, Iga Swiatek (+220) and Aryna Sabalenka (+240) are still leading the pack among the women’s competitors, often swapping positions at the top of the odds list. Other players like Coco Gauff (+550), Amanda Anisimova (28-1), and Naomi Osaka (50-1) have also seen slight improvements in their odds, gearing up for what looks to be a dramatic continuation of the tournament.
